One burning question is on political watchers’ lips as the polls move and shift to the left.
Who’s next to govern the UK ?
It’s astonishing to think that the Tories were over 20% ahead of Labour when PM May called the General Election.
State of Play
Now they are down to single figures with 3 weeks still to go
21st May 2017 Sunday Times YouGov whole UK
Conservatives 44% (-1)
Labour 35% (+3)
22nd May 2017 YouGov Welsh political barometer
Labour 44% (+ 9 %)
Conservatives 34% (- 7 %).
Ladbrokes are now offering 8-1 on Labour winning, down from 16-1.
Mr Corbyn’s campaign is making inroads into Theresa May’s support following her poorly-received policies on social care for the elderly.
If the Tories end up with even a one seat loss Labour will claim the Tories have lost their manifesto promises.
Could we be looking at a Labour Government on June 9th?
Going on policies and manifestos it’s hard to believe that Labour will not win this election.
Who wouldn’t support the Labour manifesto?
It offers all your Christmas and birthday presents in one go – free school meals vs May the Lunch Snatcher, railway nationalisation, no university fees, and so forth
And the Tories are ever more begrudging to ordinary people with their “Dementia tax” and lack of health care for the elderly, hard Brexit, control of what web pages we can visit (A British internet for British people) and voter identity cards.
Jeremy’s running around talking to large groups of ordinary people wherever he goes, all over the country.
May invents fake events.
Theresa May’s decision to call a general election was a purely cynical action. It was an attempt to take advantage of a weakened Labour Party and thus extend her time in Downing Street.
It was not designed to secure certainty over Brexit negotiations
Guy Verhofstadt, Brexit coordinator in the European Parliament, said as much
“Theresa May arguing that GE2017 will strengthen her hand in relation to Brexit negotiations is a total fallacy”
People simply shouldn’t believe her – that it’ll have no impact whatsoever.
The result of GE2017 will not make any difference to what Theresa May achieves, or fails to achieve, in negotiations with the EU because she has nothing to offer the EU
She has already destroyed any sympathy towards her government with all the rudeness and insults towards the EU over the last year.
There will be no “special partnership” with the EU.
What do the Tories really want to achieve with GE 2017?
A majority that will
1) prevent proper parliamentary scrutiny of the vast quantities of legislation that has to be passed in to law here after Brexit, in so little time to do it, – much easier to get it all through on the nod with a big majority.
2) shield them from public anger
3) keep them securely in power when the full misery resulting from Brexit falls on the British people
4) get themselves out of the corner they have painted themselves into?
That’s easy. Just engineer a hung parliament.
Theresa’s worst nightmare
If the Tories lose just six seats they will lose this election. Or so she says.
Jeremy Corbyn will be sitting down to negotiate with the presidents, prime ministers and chancellors of Europe.
Or is it? The farcical shambles of the Tory campaign looks calculated.
She’s aligning the party to herself
The Tory manifesto is alienating
*parents of school age kids,
*animal lovers by supporting a free vote on fox hunting, and
* the trade in elephant ivory which encourages brutal sadistic poaching,
*the elderly, the core Tory voters,
*doctors, nurses, health professionals and patients by continuing to underfund and privatise the NHS
Why would the Tories actually, really want to lose GE 2017?
It’s their only way out of a nightmare they put the UK in.
They don’t want to carry the can for the Brexit they themselves encouraged, supported and triggered
Do Theresa May and the Tories want to pass the poisoned Brexit chalice to the left?
Do they want Labour to take the blame when the UK breaks up?
Passing the parcel might just ensure the UK doesn’t completely break up
What effects would a Labour Government have on the 2 parts of the UK that voted to remain in the EU?
Both Conservative and Labour parties desperately want to stop the SNP
The Tory manifesto is littered with references to “one nation”.
British Labour shares the Tories’ commitment to ‘One Nation’ British nationalism.
If Brexit goes ahead under the Conservatives, PM May has already said “Now is not the time” for Indyref2
If Brexit is modified or stopped under Labour, there will be “no material change” to justify IndyRef2
Mr Corbyn does not support the SNP or Scottish Independence. He said:
“The links between Scotland and the rest of the UK are far deeper and stronger than those between the UK and the EU.
Scotland leaving the UK would only amplify the harm of a brutal Tory Brexit”.
Independence would mean turbo charged austerity”
“there is no appetite for yet another referendum”.
A left-leaning, anti-austerity Labour government determined to tackle the ills inflicted by four decades of Tory and New Labour neo-liberalism might, and I emphasize might, soften Scottish working-class anger, and attenuate support for the SNP
It wouldn’t stop demands for Independence, IndyRef2 (which the Scottish Parliament has legislated for) and remaining in the EU but it could weaken them as it might lessen the underlying causes of grievances in Scotland
However, Scotland might not win Indyref2 with a minority Labour government, supported by the SNP.
Soft ‘Labour’ Yes voters will be bewitched by a ‘socialist’ future under Westminster rule.
2. Northern Ireland
PM May called GE2017 in the middle of the biggest crisis the Northern Ireland power sharing agreement has faced since its inception
The Tories do not care about the people of Northern Ireland. Unlike Scotland, there are no Tory votes to be cherished here
Brexit is jeopardising the NI peace agreement.
Jeremy Corbyn has said there should be a referendum on Irish reunification if the Northern Irish Assembly wants one.
At the last Assembly Election Sinn Fein fell just 1 seat short of parity with the DUP and has called for a border poll within 5 years
A Border Poll, under the auspices of the EU negotiations, would probably be well received by the people in NI since over 50% are reported to want one.
If NI opts for reunification it can automatically re- join the EU as part of the Republic after Brexit.
A Labour government headed by Mr Corbyn, who supports a re-united Ireland, would be a godsend for the British Establishment, the Irish government, Republicans, nationalists and EU negotiatiors – that is everyone except the NI Unionists/Loyalists .
Query: Even though Northern Ireland risks being jettisoned by a Labour Government, is a Corbyn administration the only way to save the rest of the Union and hold Great Britain together?
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