Perfidious or Precarious Albion?

The UK is being stalked by the Ghost of Celtic Independence

 

The astonishing info from  current polls deserves  attention

 

Scottish voting intentions for the May 2015 UK general election :

SNP                            45.8%
Labour                                25.6%
Conservatives                  13.8%
Lib Democrats                  5.0%
Greens                                  4.7%
UKIP                                    4.1%

Westminster Seat distribution

Here is the current forecast for next year’s general election

Labour                               291
Conservatives                  265
SNP                                      38
Liberal Democrats           23
UKIP                                     9
DUP                                      8
Sinn Féin                             5
Plaid Cymru                       3
SDLP                                    3
Greens                                 3
Others                                 2

 

Result: A hung parliament with nationalist parties and greens holding the balance of power and a 50-50 split in NI.

What about the Republic of Ireland?

Irish voting intentions:

Sinn Féin        26%.
Fine Gael               22%
Labour                    7%
Fianna Fáil           20%

Dàil Seat distribution should such national support trends be replicated in an actual general election.:

Sinn Fein 44,

Fine Gael 43,

Fianna Fail 34,  

Labour Party 2,

Independents and Others 35.

Result: Fine Gael, Labour, and Fianna Fáil – with their combined 49%, would find it difficult to form a Coalition  Government, with Sinn Fein holding the balance of power

Bearing in mind that47%  of voters  want to see a new political party emerge, what kind of coalition can we expect with Sinn Fein holding the balance of power? What will be the impact on NI?

 

http://www.irishcentral.com/culture/craic/Famous-Grey-Lady-ghost-snapped-at-Game-of-Thrones-site.html

https://www.etsy.com/market/precarious

http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/sinn-fein-most-popular-party-649445.html

http://scotgoespop.blogspot.it/

http://www.ukelect.co.uk/HTML/forecasts.html

http://adriankavanaghelections.org/2014/11/01/their-day-has-come-sinn-feins-surge-constituency-level-analysis-of-the-sunday-independent-millward-brown-opinion-poll-2nd-november-2014/