Lord Trimble amongst The Dead

Lord Trimble,  arch Unionist, intellectual Loyalist and convinced  Brexiteer, was laid to rest.

An Orangeman, a man of fascist-type Vanguard rallies, whose leaders worked with Loyalist paramilitaries and called for Catholics to be exterminated. A man who supported the reactionary Loyalist Workers Strike. A man who participated in  the Orange Order Siege of Drumcree and the  Garvaghy Road stand-off which was linked to the death of 3 children.

British, Unionist, anti-Catholic, anti-Irish  to his finger-tips.

An unpleasant character, by all reports. Rude, cold, arrogant, easy to anger.

Ostensibly, a man of peace, authority and caution, far-seeing, percipient, worthy recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize.

In the run-up to the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement Lord Trimble insisted his  people must not linger on in the past but embrace the present.

Yet he did exactly the opposite.

Lately he supported Brexit,  hindering any move forward on the Northern Irish Protocol (NIP), contradicting judicial  findings  that the NIP breached the 1801 Act of Union  and supporting Unionist refusal to accept a SF First Minister in Northern Ireland.

He ultimately encouraged a tribute to the past, the supremacist  past of Unionism that lives on in present Unionist  parties.

Comment: RIP Let the dead bury the dead

Lord Trimble acquiesced to  the 1998 (Belfast/Good Friday) Agreement because

 a) he had no other choice. The British, Irish  and USA governments offered no alternatives to Sunningdale Mark 2, except Joint Sovreignty with the Irish Republic. A fate worse than death for Unionists/Loyalists.

 b) the IRA/SF were already on board pursuing peace. Being off-side and left out, was not a good look for the Unionist/Loyalist image and

c) the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement secured another 25 and counting years of Unionist hegemony in Northern Ireland.

Queries: What was there  not to like?

A mere quibble about power-sharing for slow learners?

 Lord Trimble knew Unionist/Loyalist  hard-liners were not slow learners.

A long, long time ago they had learnt  how to wield slogans in their favour.

   “No Surrender” and “Never, Never, Never”  guaranteed their place in Northern Ireland and  Westminster, particularly when  the Conservative Party needed to be make up numbers  to form a government.

NB: The Conservative party in England were comparatively slow learners in this regard.

“Brexit is Brexit” and “Take Back Control” came much later.

Unionists/Loyalists had no intention of, nor are they ever  going to, share power with the IRA/SF.

Parity of esteem is a foreign (EU?)  concept to them.

Since 1998, the Stormont Assembly has staggered from one debacle and collapse to to the next.

Unionists  forever walk in smaller “No No No” circles, a minority in the “wee pravince”  they once dominated.

After the latest elections the DUP refuse to participate in the Stormont Assembly, thus blocking everything.

Ostensibly because they do not like the NIP which the British government they supported negotiatiated, ratified and attempted to implement to a certain extent.

Ostensibly because they will not play “bridesmaid” to a SF First Minister.

Comment: Unionists/Loyalists and Westminster are not yet sick of Ireland, not yet sick of being where their supremacism is  unwanted.

Remember: Unionist/Loyalist  attraction to Northern Ireland  is not rooted in love of place and people but in their desire to control the people and impose their will upon everybody living there

Today Unionism/Loyalism/The Loyal Orders are shadows of a past, flickering in a world in which the living and the dead meet, haunted in these summer months by the legacy of 10 dead IRA Hunger Strikers.  

The Stormont Assembly  music has stopped.

Unionists/Loyalists will not permit the Assembly to function unless they get what they demand.

The rest of the parties and MLAs gather at the door, coats on, ready to leave if the DUP gets what it wants. 

If not, what are all the conversations about a “New /Shared Ireland about?

Land of Hope and Glory

Land of Hope and Glory,

Mother of the free,

How shall we extole thee,
Who are born of thee,
Wider still and wider,
Shall thy bounds be set,
God who made the mighty,
Make thee mightier yet!!

Day 1  – the UK   General Election campaign 2015 

Here’s a quick overview of how matters stand at present

Britain-wide voting intentions (YouGov, 4th-5th January) :

Labour 34% (-2)
Conservatives 31% (-1)
UKIP 14% (-2)
Greens 8% (+3)
Liberal Democrats 7% (+1)
SNP/Plaid Cymru 4% (n/c)

Comment:  over 33% voters spurn Conservatives and Labour.
  Lib-Dem support is low.

We’ll also have  a look at potential outcomes and their  pros and cons!

There are a lot more questions than answers at the moment.

 

England:
Lib-Dems risk losing most of their 56 seats in the House of Commons. They’ve lost their deposits in any by-election they’ve stood for since they entered the current coalition government with the conservatives.
Conservatives are divided over Europe and UKIP. Seat loss very likely. Majority very unlikely.
Labour is  beset by doubts about Ed Miliband as leader. Risks losing many of its seats in Scotland to the SNP. Seat gain in England probable. Majority very unlikely

Comment: Lab and the Cons are  both running two campaigns

Lab needs to save their seats in Scotland and appeal to ‘Middle England’.

The Cons need to save their seats in England from UKIP  and appeal to the working class English
farage as joker
UKIP courts working class English Labour and Conservative voters. Could gain up to 10 seats

The Celtic Fringe
celtic fringe
Scotland – Voting Intentions

SNP 46%,

Labour 30%,

Conservatives 12%,

Greens 6%,

Liberal Democrats 3%,

UKIP 2%

SNP has close to 100,000 members and aims at as many Scottish seats as possible. Major seat gains appear certain

Wales:  Plaid Cymru is holding on. Could gain or lose a couple of seats. Labour will hold on to its seats

N.Ireland:
Sinn Fein could gain North Belfast.

Alliance could hold East Belfast, leaving the Unionist /Loyalist parties with no Belfast seats

Comment:
A Lab or Con coalition with the Lib Dems is viable  only if the number of Lib Dem MPs exceeds the combined total of Green, Nationalist and Northern Ireland parties (DUP, UUP, UKIP and SDLP).

 

Potential Outcomes:

rainbow

The Conservative’s Road for Britain leads to a rainbow coalition!!
*A multi-party government of   Cons+UKIP+ (heaven forbid)DUP  or Lab+SNP+ Greens
*Some other confidence-and-supply arrangement with a minority government

BUT . . . .

*If Labour works with the SNP they destroy their chances in England,
If they don’t, they show England they are willing to let the Tories remain in power for another five years, rather than work with the SNP.

* The English would never accept a DUP minister of anything

Comment: Labour between a rock and a hard place. No kingmaker role for NI Unionist parties 

questions
*Will Cameron need to buy off UKIP?
*Will Miliband need a deal with the SNP, despite Labour having massively campaigned for No in the referendum?

*Will England accept a hung parliament with the SNP as kingmakers?
* Will England let Scotland call the shots and tell England what to do?

Expected Result: instability and another General Election within a short space of time

eureka

A National Government
Labour and the Cons (who would have a very clear majority over everybody else) form a national government

why us
*You will  do whatever is best for the country at this difficult time
*You will bury a non existent hatchet to ‘save Britain’ in time of crisis.

*You will defend the  UK  from breakup.

Precedent:
The governments of Ramsay MacDonald, Stanley Baldwin and Neville Chamberlain (1931- 1940). If financial worries continue, the media will make the same case as they did in the 1930s and the people will believe them.
Illustration of the thumb up hand with like text. Isolated on white.

The Establishment

*If the First Class passengers of the UK Establishment are to be saved, then a ‘National Coalition’ is the logical choice.
*They will close ranks to defend the established order.

*Their priority is London and themselves because it makes them think they still have some relevance in world affairs  

  *They want to further corporate capitalism.

The Parties

*Westminster parties and MPs are opportunists. If it’s the only way to retain power, they’ll do it

*Lab and Cons have more in common with each other than with Celtic Fringe insurgents

*They most certainly agree on keeping Irish, Welsh and Scottish nationalists in their place

 *They fear the rise of the  Green, & UKIP parties and will do anything to keep them out.

*They will not allow the SNP to call the shots

*They will do everything to prevent it because if the SNP hold balance of power the Union is over

Expected Result:

*There would be no English anger as Scottish separatists/insurgents would have no influence on policy.
*A constitutional crisis would be prevented
*There would be a functioning coalition
*It will have five years to ‘stabilise’ the UK.
*The National Government  won’t have an EU referendum and it won’t fullfil ‘The Vow’

Comment: Desperate times call for desperate measures.       On the other hand . . . . .

thumb-down-no-sign
*The UK would become a one-party state
*Mr Cameron stated the Tories won’t have a pact or coalition with any other parties                                                                    *

  BUT . . . .

*Tories and UKIP have refused to rule out a Tory-UKIP coalition:

MPs from each party might leave.. . . .
*Party grassroots, core support and campaigning teams would not accept it and would be demoralised,
*Many Tory backbenchers would regard it as demeaning and humiliating for Scotland to be the issue that forced them into a coalition government with Labour.

*The Trade Union – Labour alliance, cornerstone of Labour’s existence, would end

*Many Labour MP’s might split from the NuLab to form a new left of centre party with Trade Union backing

*Labour would go the same way as the Lib Dems unless there is an external threat (cue another war?)

Opposition?

*Could the minority parties (nationalists, greens, Lib-dems and UKIP) make up a credible opposition?

They are not likely to agree with each other over anything for long.
*Alex Salmond would never be accepted as Leader of the Opposition in Westminster because his life’s mission has been, and is, Independence for Scotland

The Celtic Fringe
*A National Government will deny Scotland its voice in the union.
*It would strip democracy from Scotland.
*It would break-up Labour’s stranglehold over the Welsh electorate by exposing them for the fraudsters they are.
*NI Unionist and SDLP MPs would be ignored

Comment: With a National Government Westminster

 1) thwarts Welsh, Irish and Scottish nationalism

 2) proves that independence will never be tolerated

3) shows that England and Westminster come first

4) shows Scots, Welsh and Irish that  Westminster wants to keep the land areas but not the actual people

 5) ends Westminster’s con trick regarding democracy

Queries: Will The national Government  be the last domino to fall as the Empire and the Union take their final breaths?
                   Will it be the final nail in the coffin of Westminster?

goodbye

 

http://www.jmartist.co.uk/#!nigel-farage-the-joker-but-what-kind-of-joker.jpg/zoom/c9fj/i13519se

http://wingsoverscotland.com/the-union-of-the-snakes/

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/01/05/uk-britain-politics-idUKKBN0KE16Y20150105

http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/29/2015-general-election-multi-party-coalition-ukip-snp

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Government_%28United_Kingdom%29

http://contosdunne.com/about/why-us/

http://forum.uscutter.com/index.php?/topic/47468-need-an-idea/

http://quoteeveryday.com/grandpa-quotes-rip/

The National Anthem Of England – Land Of Hope And Glory Lyrics | MetroLyrics

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