Background: Scotland voted to stay within the UK in IndyRef1 and within the EU in the Brexit Referendum.
Scotland’s interests demand a single UK market and a single European market.It risks losing 80,000 jobs in the decade after Brexit.
PM Theresa May stated that the United Kingdom’s government would listen to and take account of the particular concerns of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
“What I am very clear about is that, as we look into these negotiations, we will fully engage the Scottish government in the discussions that we have, in preparing what position the UK is going to take,”.
Scotland’s Opening Gambit
Nicola Sturgeon calls out Theresa May on her claims that Devolved assemblies should play a full role in negotiations and tries to ensure that Scotland is one of the priorities when the UK negotiates Brexit.
set up a board of advisors who were tasked with exploring how to retain BOTH unions.
Their 62-page proposal,
seeks to convince Westminster to step away from the brink of a hardline divorce from its European partners
“We’ve put forward very detailed plans about how we avoid a hard Brexit and the reason it’s important to avoid a hard Brexit, let’s not forget, is because that will have a devastating impact on our economy and on jobs“.
Does anybody seriously doubt that Scotland will be damaged badly by being forced to leave the single market?
Outcome: Nicola Sturgeon has kept her promise to do all she can for everyone in Scotland. Her plan tries to express the will, and satisfy the wishes, of the majority of Scottish people.
“So I’m in a sense willing to put aside my preferred option of independence in the EU to see if we can explore a consensus and compromise option.”
Ms Sturgeon tweeted the Scottish Government proposals had been “put forward in good faith”, adding
“Ball is in PM court”.
1)The Plan was presented to the UK Prime Minister and duly binned out of hand/taken under advisement.
2)The UK government said “a special deal for Scotland is unrealistic“.
3)Scotland, until such time as it votes out of the UK, is part of Brexit Britain.
4) No lawyer in the UK or the EU thinks it’s feasible to keep single market access only for Scotland and allow Scotland to control immigration.
6) “We will outside the European Union be able to have control of immigration and be able to set our rules for people coming to the U.K. from member states of the European Union”
7) “Often people talk in terms as if somehow we are leaving the EU, but we still want to keep bits of membership of the EU,” she said. “We are leaving. We are coming out.”
Comment: Ms May’s objective appears to be a clean break with the U.K.’s biggest trading partner. She might wish to revisit that decision in due course, though it doesn’t look likely. And if not? That would be her choice, not Scotland’s.
It is a “reasonable assessment” that a soft Brexit currently appears less likely than a second independence referendum
Ms Sturgeon will “give Scotland the opportunity to decide whether it wants to be driven off a hard Brexit cliff by right-wing Tory Brexiteers or whether it wants to take control of its own future”.
Comment: If Theresa May’s government persists in refusing to listen to Scotland, the Scottish government can tell the Scottish people in all honesty that there is no other option but a second independence referendum.
Outcome: Ms Sturgeon is backing May into a check position: a soft Brexit or a hard Brexit and SNP in a hard place.
Soft Brexit means something close to federalism (which won’t happen) and a step closer to independence.
Hard Brexit means another referendum.
Comment: PM May is in a difficult situation.
If the UK opts for staying in the single market then she cannot fulfill her promises to the Leavers. English voters will be baying for her government’s blood.
If the May government opts for a Hard Brexit and no single market, it may have to face the UK splitting up
Outcome: It’s a win win basically for Scotland.
Does PM May want to keep the United Kingdom intact?
Or does she want to have a hard Brexit because she won’t accept freedom of movement of people?
She can’t have it both ways.
Comment: Either way the UK seems finished.
Outcome: There is only one way for Scotland to go…
PICS and REFS