Northern Ireland and the End of British Politics

As we approach the May 5th Assembly elections, all NI voters need to remember that British politics as such no longer exist.

dead parrot
Politics in Northern Ireland have long followed their own path and parties

dup banner

DUP voters will be supporting an ultra-Evangelical agenda. Since the Union is always under threat as long as nationalist/republican parties exist, their worse fear is fear that a SF MLA might become First Minister.

Which would be unthinkable. Even after 95 odd years.
Even for other Unionist/Loyalist parties.

So much for democracy Unionist/Loyalist-style!

sf vote
On the other hand, Republicans/nationalists/left winger MLAs will most probably settle into another administration with

mcguinness

Martin Mc Guinness as Deputy First Minister.

deadlock
Deadlock. Stalemate. With no exit strategy for anyone.

Across the Irish Sea and the North Channel

snp 2016

Scotland is  going its own way. The SNP has a majority in the scottish parliament.The Scots elected only 3 “British” MPs at the last General Election and they seem determined to drive the message home.

snp 2

They’ve been arguing the pros and cons of casting two votes* for the SNP for months in the May 5th election to the Scottish Parliament. They have been campaigning steadily to ensure a clear SNP majority in the Scottish Parliament.They intend to do the same in the local council elections next year,

That’s a song for Scotland but there’s a pretty obvious message in there for non-Unionist voters, parties, groups, societies and so on in NI.
Whatever the outcome of the Stormont Assembly election this week,it comes after a lacklustre SF campaign, spats with the SDLP and potential vote splitting with left-wing parties in several areas
It’s time non-Unionists in NI set aside their differences to focus on the Ultimate Prize. If they aren’t interested in it, just let the electorate know!But that would mean bye-bye to the gravy train for so many!!

gravytrain

All the free Irish need to keep what’s best for Ireland in their sights. Like the Scots, they should decide to vote separately for other parties only once Ireland’s Re-United.

questions

Query: So Socialism/Labour should take a back seat once again?
No. The Socialist strand is inextricable from Republicanism. Connolly and his men stood at the GPO. IRSP hungerstrikers fasted to the death. Left-wing republicans and nationalists will not be found wanting if there is a genuine push to achieve a Re-United Ireland.
Query: Are you talking about reviving the pan-nationalist front?
I’m talking about focussing on the one objective that the diverse non-Unionist/Loyalist groups and parties say they hold in common
I’m proposing they work together to achieve that objective.

If the reasons underlying the splits are more important and you want to hang on to your group power , you just have to

say the word

 If  other groups as considered beneath you, because they are not such “pure” republicans/nationalists, you  just have to

tell us2

 

Query: How can this idea be put into practice?
• concentrate on what unites, not what divides
• play to strengths, overcome (temporarily at least) the weakness of splits and exploit Unionist/Loyalist fallacies
• select the best candidates that are supported by all parties, whatever party they actually belong to.
• local primaries/caucauses may be the way to go in candidate selection. The Democratic Party  (PD) does that in Italy. Anybody can vote for a candidate on the day if they pay 2 euros.The money helps cover costs.
• announce these candidates are supported by all parties, societies, movements etc
• have representatives from all parties, societies etc support the elected MLA in his/her work and anchor him/her  within the constituency and its needs
• do the same for all council elections
• maximise political gains for the growing non-Unionist/Loyalist community in NI.

Recommendation: Hold these 2 thoughts:
1) the Civil Rights/Republican/nationalist movements achieved their greatest gains when they united people

2) Divide and conquer is a well-worn threadbare strategy. How long will people be taken in by it? And succumb to it?

Reflection: Maybe the outcome of the Brexit Referendum, rather than the forthcoming Stormont Assembly Election, will help focus attention on the ultimate prize!!Unless of course  . . . . . .

dup gravy train

 

*constituency and list votes

Pics

http://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2016/apr/21/paul-seawright-photography-best-shot-belfast

http://triadstrategies.typepad.com/triadvocate/2014/07/friday-happy-hour-dead-parrot-edition-.html

http://bigdata-guide.blogspot.it/2014/01/what-is-deadlock.html

Which Westminster seats can the SNP realistically win?

Gravy train derailed

http://www.amazon.com/Peaceable-Kingdom-Winning-Family-Cooperative/dp/B00HK74Z1G

https://memegenerator.net/instance/65182860

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2 thoughts on “Northern Ireland and the End of British Politics

  1. Economist David McWilliams has suggested that a United Kingdom exit from the EU could lead to a united Ireland

    A LEADING Irish economist has suggested that a UK exit from the European Union could lead to a united Ireland.

    David McWilliams said if the United Kingdom votes to leave the EU next month “it could start a domino effect – at the end of which is a united Ireland”.

    Mr McWilliams also said he believed “unionists have now an economic incentive to join a united Ireland because the union is impoverishing them”.

    Writing in the Sunday Business Post, Mr McWilliams: “Here is the possible scenario that will unfold if there’s a break-up of the UK. The English lead the British out of Europe.

    “The Scottish then go to the polls again, wanting to stay in Europe.

    “They have to leave the UK to stay in the EU, and by a small margin they vote to stay in Europe but leave the English. Not unfeasible.

    “The rump UK becomes an entity involving a eurosceptic England, a modestly pro-European but compliant Wales and an ever-divided Northern Ireland.

    “However it is a Northern Ireland shorn of its fraternal brothers, the Scots – in a union with the ambivalent English. There has never been the same cultural affinity between the English and the Northern Unionists.

    “Unlike many Southerners, my bonds with that part of the world are strong. Ethnically, without Scotland, the union of Northern Ireland and a multicultural but nationalistic little England is not particularly coherent.

    “All the while, the demographic forces are on the side of nationalism.”

    The economist and broadcaster suggested that “the union has been an economic calamity for everyone in the North”.

    “Well, in the distant past, there was good reason to believe that the union preserved living standards in the north, but this is a myth and has not been the case since 1990,” he wrote.

    “Indeed, the end of the Troubles, which should have marked the resurgence of the relative performance of the north, has actually delivered the opposite.

    “Relative to the south, the northern economy has fallen backwards since the guns were silenced. If there was an economic peace dividend, it went south.

    “Now with Brexit looming and the concrete and more profound underlying changes in demography, the issue of a united Ireland may be back on the table quicker than most of us imagined – or cared to dread.”

    He added: “Interestingly, unionists have now an economic incentive to join a united Ireland because the union is impoverishing them, but I suspect they’d prefer to get poor in a semi-detached UK rather than join a much more coherent all-Ireland economic endeavour.”

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