The Party’s Over – Gridlock Alert Over Welfare Cuts

gridlock alert
State of Play: Potential gridlock
choose a level
How much do we pay in taxes anyway?
In 2012-13 HMRC tax revenue was £5,700 per person in Northern Ireland. That’s 23% lower than in UK as a whole (£7,300)
Why?
Since Northern Ireland has less income and wealth than the rest of the UK it raises at least 25% less revenue per person from all the main taxes
Why’ve we got less?
Loss of traditional jobsin shipbuilding and textiles, more money spent on welfare due to the effects of the Troubles
They’ve been over for years
power sharing
But the impact of conflict drags on.
injured person
About 50,000 people were injured. That’s just over 3% of the population.
disability
Many can’t work and need disability benefits. Then there are people who are profoundly disturbed by what they had to go through
ptsd
the shock of witnessing a violent event, being forced to move house, fear of travelling out of one’s own area. Experience of the conflict and poverty are strongly linked,
What are our politicians going to do?
rob and macg
They asked Westminster to make a special case of Northern Ireland where the legacy of the Troubles has contributed to higher levels of disability, mental illness and poverty
What other options have they got?
They can agree a compromise package that blunts the worst of the cuts
Where’s the money coming from?
nobody knows
The Assembly budget is already stretched.
Northern Ireland has just won a 4-year ‘bedroom tax’ reprieve. The cost in the first year will be £17m, which will have to be found locally.

The DUP’s dilemma
dup banner
The Social Development Minister Nelson McCausland
Nelson-McCausland
has been trying to wring concessions from London.
letter
But they collapsed plans to redevelop the former Maze/Long kesh prison site
longkesh
scuppering the 5,000 jobs that project was predicted to deliver.And they’ve certainly blotted their copy-books,
haven’t they with

fleggers
riots in ra
twadell camp2
So much so they are considered a
grotesque
How do you think we, the working class Protestant communities will react to welfare cuts?
prod dont know
Sinn Féin’s dilemma
sinn fein
Martin McGuinness declared: “Sinn Féin will resist this onslaught on the most vulnerable” In Stormont departments like Education and the Office of First Minister and Deputy First Minister Sinn Fein has sought to direct funding towards those in greatest need.
diverting funds
If Sinn Féin doesn’t implement welfare cuts in the north how will it fund any compromise welfare package?
How will Sinn Féin handle the issue if they are pushed by London, or by the DUP in Belfast?

prod dont know
Sinn Féin is a major player in power-sharing in the Stormont Assembly and the second most popular party in the South where its political ambitions are based on an anti-cuts agenda
How will Sinn Féin overseeing welfare cuts in the north be received in the south?

sinn fein dont know

London’s dilemma?
union flag2
If Stormont continues to delay implementing the welfare reforms that the Cameron government has imposed elsewhere in the UK.
fine mess
the Westminster government could impose a £60 million `fine’
Britain's Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander arrives in Downing Street for a cabinet meeting on budget day, in central London
The Chief Secretary to the Treasury has said Northern Ireland can’t pay.
direct rule
Mr Cameron said: “It’s not a question of the UK Government ‘cutting’ [from the money it sends to Stormont].
cameron
“This is a devolved system; it’s for the politicians in Northern Ireland to decide how much to spend on welfare and how much to spend on other areas of government policy.It’s for Northern Irish politicians to make their own decisions here.
“It will be their decision but obviously if they decide not to make those reforms there are financial consequences. But those are consequences of their actions , not mine.”

checkmate
On the other hand, Westminster could enforce the cuts directly, which means dismantling part of the power-sharing arrangements.
alienate3
This could potentially alienate Sinn Féin.

If Mr Cameron were to waive the issue and make a special case of Northern Ireland, how would working class people in the rest of the UK react? What will people in Scotland and Wales say?
prod dont know
How would politicians in the rest of the UK react?
dont know signpost
There is
no way out
Will joint sovereignty provide the answer?
joint
Could two Secretaries of State find the way out?
twins

http://www.housingnews.co.uk/index.asp?cat=news#449066
http://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/6881?
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/new-political-force-may-take-advantage-of-increasing-polarisation-1.1545374
http://www.thedetail.tv/columns/steven-mccaffery/welfare-reform-stormont-faces-another-maze
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2010/jul/14/belfast-riots-ardoyne-poverty-deprivation
http://www.childrenslawcentre.org/ParticularCircumstancesofChildreninNorthernIreland-GorettiHorgan.htm
http://www.potteye.co.uk/disabled-benefits-claimants-test-atos-reports-found-unacceptably-poor/
http://emergingfrombroken.com/overcoming-post-traumatic-stress-disorder/
http://defsounds.com/hip-hop-videos/juelz-santana-ft-future-nobody-knows/
http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/regional/not-reforming-welfare-will-cost-you-cameron-1-5580356

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4 thoughts on “The Party’s Over – Gridlock Alert Over Welfare Cuts

  1. Pingback: Can’t Pay. Won’t Pay – UK and Ulster | the mirror@wordpress.com

  2. Pingback: Stormont Here Today, Gone Tomorrow? | the mirror@wordpress.com

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